How to use math to win a game of Monopoly – including the key place to buy properties
It’s the competitive board game that lasts for hours and causes arguments, and math can help you win it.
Whether you use Monopoly as Christmas entertainment or just as something to do at a night out, Monopoly is one of those board games that always causes tension.
It can never be a simple game, it often takes hours and causes a lot of arguments with your family and friends.
But, what if there was a secret mathematical way to win a game of Monopoly every time?
A Youtube video by Business Insider may be the answer to our prayers, as it talks about the importance of probability calculations during gaming.
Depending on the video, we can use the probability to determine the “hot spots” of the board and how profitable specific investments can be.
The dice are perhaps the most important part of this game, with the probability suggesting that two dice will be rolled to make seven more often than any other number.
Each number on the dice has different probabilities described below:
2 – 2.8 percent
3 – 5.6 percent
4 – 8.3 percent
5 – 11.1 percent
6 – 13.9 percent
7 – 16.7 percent
8 – 13.9 percent
9 – 11.1 percent
You can use the probability to decide when and where to build houses.
Luck and Community Chest cards are also very important.
These include paying money, receiving money, going to jail, getting out of jail, and moving to another place on the board.
The video explains that nine of the 12 sixteen cards in each deck require you to move more than 50% of the time.
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“Speeding” can actually happen a lot more than you think too, with the probability of hitting three doubles at 0.4%, if you multiply that by 50 spins it increases up to a 20% chance. .
This means you’re more likely than you might think to go to jail for speeding, so be sure to be careful.
As for the layout of the Monopoly board, the video suggests that with four possible routes on the board, you’re more likely to end up in jail than anywhere else.
By calculating the properties closest to the prison, you can then determine the likelihood of how often each location is visited.
The high levels of traffic mean they’re probably a good place to invest, but avoid the lower percentages.
Blogger Truman Collins calculated the long-term probabilities for each of the Monopoly squares, as well as the expected income on opponents’ reels from short and long-term prison stays.
His research suggests that you should never hesitate to buy that third house or buy an additional track.
In a nutshell, six, seven, and eight are the most likely to be obtained and you can use this knowledge to track opponents into paying rent.
You should also buy the properties closest to the prison as they are the most visited, and building three houses will get your investment back the fastest.
Seems like there’s a lot more to Monopoly than squabbling over the kitchen table.